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Ȳ´çÇϱâ À̸¦ µ¥ ¾ø´Ù, ¸¶Â÷º¸´Ù µÎ¹è³ª ºü¸¥ ±³Åë¼ö´ÜÀ̶ó´Ï?

- À×±Û·£µå °è°£¸®ºä, 1825³â 3¿ùÈ£

What can be more palpably absurd than the prospect held out of locomotives traveling twice as fast as stagecoaches?

- The Quarterly Review, England (March 1825)


°íÅëÀ» ÁÖÁö ¾ÊÀ¸¸é¼­ ¼ö¼úÇÑ´Ù´Â °ÍÀº ȯ»óÀÏ »ÓÀÌ´Ù. ¼ö¼úÄ® ÇÏ¸é °íÅëÀ» ¶°¿Ã¸®°Ô µÇ´Â °ÍÀº ¼ö¼úȯÀÚ¿¡°Ô´Â ¿µ¿øÇÒ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

- ¾ËÇÁ·¹µå º§»Ø(ÇÁ¶û½º ¿Ü°úÀÇ»ç), 1839³â

The abolishment of pain in surgery is a chimera. It is absurd to go on seeking it. . . . Knife and pain are two words in surgery that must forever be associated in the consciousness of the patient.

- Dr. Alfred Velpeau (1839) French surgeon


ºÏ´ë¼­¾çÀÇ °ÅÄ£ ¹Ù´Ù¸¦ Áõ±â±â°üÀ¸·Î Ç×ÇØÇÏ´Â °ÍÀ» ½ÃµµÇÏ´À´Ï ´Þ³ª¶ó ¿©ÇàÀ» ²Þ²Ù´Â°Ô ³´°Ú´Ù.

- µð¿À´Ï¼ö½º ¶óµå³Ê, 1838³â, ·±´ø University College ÀÚ¿¬Ã¶ÇÐ¹× Ãµ¹®ÇÐ ±³¼ö

Men might as well project a voyage to the Moon as attempt to employ steam navigation against the stormy North Atlantic Ocean.

- Dr. Dionysus Lardner (1838) Professor of Natural Philosophy and Astronomy, University College, London


´ÞŽ»ç ·ÎÄÏÀ̶ó´Â ¹Ùº¸°°Àº ¾ÆÀ̵ð¾î, ÀÌ·±°Ô ¹Ù·Î ·ÎÄÏ°úÇÐÀ̶ó´Â ¾ÇÀÇÀûÀÎ Àü°øÀ¸·Î ¼øÁøÇÑ °úÇÐÀÚµéÀ» Ȳ´çÇÏ°Ô ¿À·§µ¿¾È ¾Æ¹«»ý°¢¾øÀÌ °í»ýÇÏ°Ô ¸¸µå´Â ¿¹°¡ µÉ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

- A.W. ºñÄ¿Æ°, 1926³â, ´ºÁú·£µå Canterbury College ¹°¸®¹× È­ÇÐ ±³¼ö

The foolish idea of shooting at the moon is an example of the absurd length to which vicious specialization will carry scientists working in thought-tight compartments.

- A.W. Bickerton (1926) Professor of Physics and Chemistry, Canterbury College, New Zealand


Æĸ® ¹Ú¶÷ȸ¿¡¼­ ¼Ò°³µÈ Àü±êºÒÀº ¹Ú¶÷ȸ°¡ ³¡³ª¸é¼­ ÀØÇôÁú °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

- ¿¡¶ó½º¹«½º Àª½¼, 1878³â, ¿Á½ºÆÛµå ´ëÇб³ ±³¼ö

When the Paris Exhibition closes electric light will close with it and no more be heard of.

- Erasmus Wilson (1878) Professor at Oxford University


¾Æ´Â »ç¶÷µéÀº ¾È´Ù. Àü±êÁÙÀÌ ¸ñ¼Ò¸®¸¦ ½Ç¾î ³ª¸£´Â °ÍÀº ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù´Â °ÍÀ». °¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù°í Çصµ ±× °É ¾îµð¿¡ ¾²°Ú´Â°¡?

- º¸½ºÅÏ Æ÷½ºÆ® »ç¼³, 1865³â

Well informed people know it is impossible to transmit the voice over wires and that were it possible to do so, the thing would be of no practical value.

- Editorial in the Boston Post (1865)


Áö³­ÇØ µ¿¾È º°¹Ý ±ÞÁøÀûÀÎ ¼º°ú°¡ ¾ø¾ú´ø °É·Î ºÁ¼­, ÀÌÁ¦ ÀÚµ¿Â÷ ±â¼úÀº ÇÑ°è¿¡ ´Ù´Ù¶ú´Ù°í º»´Ù.

- Scientific American, 1909³â 1¿ùÈ£

That the automobile has practically reached the limit of its development is suggested by the fact that during the past year no improvements of a radical nature have been introduced.

- Scientific American, Jan. 2, 1909


°ø±âº¸´Ù ¹«°Å¿î, ³¯À¸´Â ±â°è´Â ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù.

- Ä̺ó °æ, 1895³â, ¿µ±¹ ¼öÇÐ¹× ¹°¸®ÇÐÀÚ

Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible.

- Lord Kelvin, ca. 1895, British mathematician and physicist


¶óµð¿ÀÀÇ ¹Ì·¡´Â ¾ø´Ù.

- Ä̺ó °æ, 1897³â

Radio has no future.

- Lord Kelvin, ca. 1897.


ÀÌ·ÐÀûÀ¸·Î³ª ±â¼úÀûÀ¸·Î Å×·¹ºñÀüÀº °¡´ÉÇÒ Áö ¸ô¶óµµ, °æÁ¦ÀûÀ¸·Î³ª »ó¾÷ÀûÀ¸·Î ±×°ÍÀº ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù°í º»´Ù. Çѹø Å×·¹ºñÀüÀ» ¸¸µé¾î º¸°Ú´Ù´Â ²Þ¿¡ ½Ã°£³¶ºñÇÒ ÇÊ¿ä¾ø´Ù.

- ¸® µå Æ÷¸®½ºÆ®, 1926³â, ¹Ì±¹ ¶óµð¿À ¼±±¸ÀÚ

While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially I consider it an impossibility, a development of which we need waste little time dreaming.

- Lee DeForest, 1926 (American radio pioneer)


¿øÀÚ·Â ¹ßÀüÀÌ °¡´ÉÇÒ °Í °°Àº ¡Á¶´Â ÀüÇô ¾ø´Ù. ¿øÀÚ¸¦ ¿ì¸®¸¾´ë·Î ºÎ½º·¯ ¶ß¸®´Â ±â¼úÀ» ¶æÇϴµ¥, ±Û½ê.

- ¾ÆÀν¬Å¸ÀÎ, 1932³â

There is not the slightest indication that [nuclear energy] will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.

- Albert Einstein, 1932.


¿¡´Ï¾Ç(ENIAC) ÄÄÇ»ÅÍ°¡ 19000°³ÀÇ Áø°ø°üÀ» °¡Áö°íÀÖ°í ¹«°Ô°¡ 30ÅæÀΰɷΠºÁ¼­ ¹Ì·¡ÀÇ ÄÄÇ»ÅÍ´Â 1000°³ Á¤µµÀÇ Áø°ø°üÀ¸·Î ±¸¼ºµÇ°í ¹«°Ô´Â 1.5Åæ Á¤µµ ³ª°¥°ÍÀÌ´Ù.

- Popular Mechanics, 1949³â 3¿ùÈ£

Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 19,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and perhaps only weigh 1.5 tons.

- Popular Mechanics, March 1949.


°³°³ÀÎÀÌ ÀÚ±âÁý¿¡ ÄÄÇ»Å͸¦ °¡Áö°í ÀÖÀ» ÇÊ¿ä´Â ¾ø´Ù.

- ÄË ¿Ã½¼, 1977³â,  DEC »çÀå

There is no need for any individual to have a computer in their home.

- Ken Olson, 1977, President, Digital Equipment Corp.


¾Æ¸¶ Àü¼¼°è ÄÄÇ»ÅÍ ½ÃÀåÀÇ ±Ô¸ð´Â ÇÑ 5´ë Á¤µµ°¡ µÉ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

- Å丶½º ¿Ó½¼, 1943³â,  IBM ȸÀå

I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.

- Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.


Àü±¹À» ±¤¹üÀ§ÇÏ°Ô ´Ù´Ï¸é¼­ ÃÖ°íÀÇ Àü¹®°¡µé°ú ¾ê±âÇØ ºÃ´Âµ¥, Àå´ãÇϰǵ¥ "Á¤º¸Ã³¸®"¶ó´Â °ÍÀº Àϳ⵵ °¡Áö¾ÊÀ» À¯ÇàÀÌ µÉ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.

- Prentice Hall ¾÷¹«¿ëÃ¥ ÃâÆÇ´ã´ç ÆíÁýÀÚ, 1957³â

I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won't lastout the year.

- The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957.


±Ùµ¥ ±×°Ô... ¹¹¿¡ ÁÁÀ»·Á³ª?

- IBM °íµîÄÄÇ»ÅͽýºÅÛ ¿£Áö´Ï¾î, 1968³â, ¸¶ÀÌÅ©·ÎĨ¿¡ ´ëÇؼ­ ¾ð±ÞÇϸ鼭

But what ... is it good for?

- Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.


All quotes except the last three are from The Experts Speak: The Definitive Compendium of Authoritative Misinformation by Christopher Cerf and Victor Navasky (Pantheon Books, 1984), as cited in The New American , March 27, 1989.


ÀϹÝÀεéÀÇ ºñÇà±â¿¡´ëÇÑ ¿¹ÃøÀÌ ³Ê¹« °úÇÏ´Ù. ´ÙÀ½ ¼¼´ëÂë¿¡´Â ÇϷ縸¿¡ ·±´ø¿¡ ³¯¾Æ°¥ ¼ö ÀÕÀ» °ÍÀ¸·Î »ý°¢Çϴµ¥, ÀÌ°Ç ¸í¹éÈ÷ ºÒ°¡´ÉÇÏ´Ù.

µÎ ¸íÀ» ÅÂ¿ï ºñÇà±âµµ ¸¸µé°í ¿­ ´ñ ¸í±îÁö ÅÂ¿ï ºñÇà±âµµ ¸¸µé°Ô µÉ °Å¶ó°í ÀϹÝÀεéÀÌ »ý°¢Çϴµ¥, °ø±âÁß ¹«°ÔºÎ¾ç ÀÌ·ÐÀ» ÀÌÇظøÇØ ÇÏ´Â ¸»ÀÌ´Ù.

- HarvardÀÇ Àü¹®°¡¿Í ±³¼öµé, 1908. Ãâó: 11/3/2014 ´º¿åŸÀÓÁî Àǰ߶õ ±â»ç "Not a Flight of Fancy: Space Tourism Isn't Frivolous, or Impossible."

The public has greatly over-estimated the possibilities of the aeroplane, imagining that in another generation they will be able to fly over to London in a day. This is manifestly impossible.

(While laymen might think that) because a machine will carry two people another may be constructed that will carry a dozen, (in fact) those who make this contention do not understand the theory of weight sustentation in the air.

- An expert at Harvard and two other professors, 1908. From The Opinion Pages, NewYork Times, 11/3/2014, "Not a Flight of Fancy: Space Tourism Isn't Frivolous, or Impossible"